B&B Burks
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Help Please! Thoughts on Weather in Gulf over Next Week?
- Thread starter Pat Anderson
- Start date
No Boris, Collier County recently overtook Tampa Bay as Lightning Capital of FL.
Thunder storms are more prevalent and more severe in S. Florida.
The graphic does not really square with the statistics: Average number of days with precipitation in Pensacola is 76 per year. I would say that maybe a little over 50% of the days we have rain, it is accompanied by lightning. The average 66 inches of rain a year, keep our water table up, and the area green.
We like to say there is a reason they choose the location of Pensacola Air Station, and the home port of the Blue Angels. Good weather.
Pensacola Yacht club is well protected from Northers--perhaps the wind was out of the East. PYC is on the North shore--so no fetch. It is open only to the East, or South East.
November30 has always been the "end of hurricane season" officially. Out of the Top 54 cities in the US, Pensacola is 32nd. The top of the "least group". !8 storms since 1871. Again going to the Stats, November has as many hurricanes as July, August Sept (highest) and Oct. are the peak months. But Tropical storms hit every month of the year--the the only two months that hurricane have not formed in the US sector are Feb. and April. This year TS "Arlene" became the second Tropical Storm in April.
Thunder storms are more prevalent and more severe in S. Florida.
The graphic does not really square with the statistics: Average number of days with precipitation in Pensacola is 76 per year. I would say that maybe a little over 50% of the days we have rain, it is accompanied by lightning. The average 66 inches of rain a year, keep our water table up, and the area green.
We like to say there is a reason they choose the location of Pensacola Air Station, and the home port of the Blue Angels. Good weather.
Pensacola Yacht club is well protected from Northers--perhaps the wind was out of the East. PYC is on the North shore--so no fetch. It is open only to the East, or South East.
November30 has always been the "end of hurricane season" officially. Out of the Top 54 cities in the US, Pensacola is 32nd. The top of the "least group". !8 storms since 1871. Again going to the Stats, November has as many hurricanes as July, August Sept (highest) and Oct. are the peak months. But Tropical storms hit every month of the year--the the only two months that hurricane have not formed in the US sector are Feb. and April. This year TS "Arlene" became the second Tropical Storm in April.
South of Heaven
New member
Good luck to all the Gulf Brats. This hurricane season is unrelenting.....
journey on
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Mother Nature isn't mad, just carrying on business; could be as usual or changed. But she doesn't care.
It's up to us to cope.
Boris
It's up to us to cope.
Boris
Gulfcoastjohn
New member
We retired in late July, sold the house of 22 years in Mississippi, and moved to a rental in Pensacola just outside the back gate of the NAS last month.
We've never taken Cat O' Mine out of the water before for a mere tropical storm (defined as constant 35-74 MPH, gusts to 70MPH) until yesterday, but it was mainly for practice and proficiency. It went very well in gusts to 20MPH, and with experience we'll manage more. One 24" scrape due to not putting out fenders for disembarking Eileen.
Humans have been talking about the weather for at least 2000 years, and will continue to do so (hopefully) for another 2000 years.
Thanks for the thoughts and prayers...although our typical vicious summer thunderstorm squalls can deliver 60MPH winds, golf ball size hail and waterspouts that are worse (although often for under 1 hour) than your run-of-the-mill Tropical Storm.
Happy Boating!
The Best Boat is always one you can heave onto a trailer and Boogy!
John
We've never taken Cat O' Mine out of the water before for a mere tropical storm (defined as constant 35-74 MPH, gusts to 70MPH) until yesterday, but it was mainly for practice and proficiency. It went very well in gusts to 20MPH, and with experience we'll manage more. One 24" scrape due to not putting out fenders for disembarking Eileen.
Humans have been talking about the weather for at least 2000 years, and will continue to do so (hopefully) for another 2000 years.
Thanks for the thoughts and prayers...although our typical vicious summer thunderstorm squalls can deliver 60MPH winds, golf ball size hail and waterspouts that are worse (although often for under 1 hour) than your run-of-the-mill Tropical Storm.
Happy Boating!
The Best Boat is always one you can heave onto a trailer and Boogy!
John
We always say "Never be near Jim Cantore during a Hurricane"--well, he is about 12 miles South of us (as the crow flies) on the Gulf in Orange Beach. So far this has been a "non event" for us in West Pensacola. It appears that Perdido Bay may get less surge than Pensacola Bay.
We have seen about 20 knots of breeze, and gusts to 30. Storm surge is a couple of feet; Very little rain. I am sure there will be more as the night wears on, but it appears that some dry cooler air has infused the center of the storm, and as it has made the first landfall is not intensifying. There are many days that we have higher chop on the bay during "normal" conditions.
We hope that these mild conditions are what Pat finds up the way during the next day. The models show the wind decreasing rapidly as it makes landfall. The private service says it will rapidly become a tropical storm, and shortly thereafter a depression, caught up in the advancing cool front.
We have seen about 20 knots of breeze, and gusts to 30. Storm surge is a couple of feet; Very little rain. I am sure there will be more as the night wears on, but it appears that some dry cooler air has infused the center of the storm, and as it has made the first landfall is not intensifying. There are many days that we have higher chop on the bay during "normal" conditions.
We hope that these mild conditions are what Pat finds up the way during the next day. The models show the wind decreasing rapidly as it makes landfall. The private service says it will rapidly become a tropical storm, and shortly thereafter a depression, caught up in the advancing cool front.
Pat Anderson
New member
Here is hoping you are right, Bob!
Just watching Jim Cantore - he is confirming what Bob is seeing, with winds 75 G 89 at the first landfall and expecting that to diminish as it makes the second landfall.
Assuming you don't have TV on the boat, Pat. The discussion seems to be more on the potential storm surge right at the coast. Very dry on the west side of the storm (Hurricane warning for New Orleans cancelled); if the storm moves NNE as anticipated, it should put you on the west side of the center of the storm. There is a tornado currently anticipated well NE of your position.
You may be able to sleep, but I would advise taking turns with "anchor watch" (dock watch?) and catch up on your sleep tomorrow and Monday.
Stay safe.
Assuming you don't have TV on the boat, Pat. The discussion seems to be more on the potential storm surge right at the coast. Very dry on the west side of the storm (Hurricane warning for New Orleans cancelled); if the storm moves NNE as anticipated, it should put you on the west side of the center of the storm. There is a tornado currently anticipated well NE of your position.
You may be able to sleep, but I would advise taking turns with "anchor watch" (dock watch?) and catch up on your sleep tomorrow and Monday.
Stay safe.
I mentioned Tornados on the other thread. We just were put under a Tornado warning (either on the ground, or high potential) via our cell phones. By going to a Tornado web site we were able to get the warning exactly as it was issued by the weather service. I also turned on a I phone app which monitor's fire and EMS services in our area. If there is a tornado on the ground they will spot it. We also monitor the ham 2 meter frequencies of the EOC where spotters call heavy weather. We determined that the potential tornado was about 8 miles away and moving North of us
Local TV stations will also carry the specifics of tornado threats. We often carry a small portable TV on the boat, to allow us to get these special weather projections.
Heavy bands of rain on the other side of Perdido bay are about 4 miles away, with light rain here.
Local TV stations will also carry the specifics of tornado threats. We often carry a small portable TV on the boat, to allow us to get these special weather projections.
Heavy bands of rain on the other side of Perdido bay are about 4 miles away, with light rain here.
I can give a final report on Nate. I went to sleep at about 11 PM. Woke up at 2 AM--it was windy, and rain. at 4:30 AM I could not hear wind and no rain--some movement of foliage observed.
Looking at the meteorology reports from NAS Pensacola, which is 6 miles to the South of us; Peak sustained winds= 38 knots with gusts to 49 about the same time Nate made secondary landfall. I don't think we had that much at our home. at 7:45 AM--it looks like about 15 knots with some gusts to 25. NAS reported total rain fall of about 0.61 inch. Storm surge--may have been 3 feet max. But that was over a period of over 24 hours.
Again, sustained wind, gusts, rain and surge was considerably more at the point of impact. But for us, Nate was one of the weakest storms we have experienced. I would estimate that we about 100 miles from Biloxi MS where the storm made secondary landfall at about 12:30 AM with winds of 85 mph.
Hopefully Pat on Daydream had even milder conditions...
Looking at the meteorology reports from NAS Pensacola, which is 6 miles to the South of us; Peak sustained winds= 38 knots with gusts to 49 about the same time Nate made secondary landfall. I don't think we had that much at our home. at 7:45 AM--it looks like about 15 knots with some gusts to 25. NAS reported total rain fall of about 0.61 inch. Storm surge--may have been 3 feet max. But that was over a period of over 24 hours.
Again, sustained wind, gusts, rain and surge was considerably more at the point of impact. But for us, Nate was one of the weakest storms we have experienced. I would estimate that we about 100 miles from Biloxi MS where the storm made secondary landfall at about 12:30 AM with winds of 85 mph.
Hopefully Pat on Daydream had even milder conditions...
Pat Anderson
New member
We are safe. Hurricane Nate was a total non-event in Demopolis, we were not really even aware of anything except some rain during the night. We hope to be moving south again tomorrow morning!
Pat Anderson
New member
journey on
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Pat and Patty;
Good move, you rode out Nate away from any fury. Putting stuff awat, taking down the canvass probably reduced the anxiety level.
Now you can complete your whirlwind tour in peace, without the wind.
Boris
Good move, you rode out Nate away from any fury. Putting stuff awat, taking down the canvass probably reduced the anxiety level.
Now you can complete your whirlwind tour in peace, without the wind.
Boris
South of Heaven
New member
Glad everyone is okay! I can't believe how fast moving that storm is! It's already in Mass. now but moving away shortly!...We had rain and 20-25 knot winds starting this afternoon and lasting til early Tuesday am.....
A
Anonymous
Guest
There is no natural weather, that is why the 'forecast' changes from day to day much of the time! Thanks to the "Military Industrial Complex" (Weather Warfare) some US president warned about yesteryear and why RFK was assassinated... trying to blow the whistle on the predatory elite agenda. But I digress and can't blame them really :| got to keep the trousered ape population in control. :disgust
http://www.geoengineeringwatch.org/engi ... ne-harvey/
http://www.geoengineeringwatch.org/engi ... ne-harvey/
journey on
New member
Where the h__l did that post come from?
Boris
Boris