Hurricane Matthew

thataway

Active member
It looks as if the major effects of Hurricane Matthew will not affect Florida, except E. coastal areas. Specifically it will be long gone by the Apalachicola gathering (where the forecast is for warm days and nice nights, with a few clouds and no rain after Thursday.

However, looking at the model and intensity, there is a good chance for landfall or close coastal skirting in the Carolinas, Virginia, and up into as far North as the Cape Cod area. Our thoughts are with those C Brats in these areas. Be safe, and take precautions early!
 
Looks like it should be over Haiti today. I have good friends on a medical mission in Dominican Republic. Have not heard anything from them for a couple of days, but I don't think that is due to the winds or rain yet. Hard to know this early.

Thoughts and prayers for all in this storms path.

Harvey
SleepyC :moon

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hardee":3iys4l8h said:
Looks like it should be over Haiti today. I have good friends on a medical mission in Dominican Republic. Have not heard anything from them for a couple of days, but I don't think that is due to the winds or rain yet. Hard to know this early.

Thoughts and prayers for all in this storms path.

Harvey
SleepyC :moon

1_10_2012_from_Canon_162.highlight.jpg

We holidayed in Punta Cana (Dominican Republic) and they were so hospitable and friendly--we wish them safe and
well
 
Our this AM forecast from Peter Ray, Univ of FL, is:

Oct 5 5:15 AM
Hurricane Matthew will regain its strength as a Category 4 major hurricane as it moves through the Bahamas. Tomorrow it will be a category 4 storm and the latitude of Miami. It will continue up the east cost just off shore (maybe the worst scenario), The west side of the eye will lash the coast with winds in the 140 mph range with gusts even stronger. All of the Florida Peninsula can expect locally heavy rains that will last a day or so. And squall as well.

So those of you up North--our thoughts and prayers are with you--start your preps now, if you have not already done so: hang on!
 
Report from friends in Dominican Republic. Lots of rain, winds, and power outages through the evening and last night. So far, all safe.

Again, Prayers for safety for the whole right coast.

Harvey
SleepyC:moon

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We're on Oak Island NC, near the NC/SC border, still in the "cone of uncertainty" (I've lived my entire life in the cone of uncertainty🤔), but as of now, I get the feeling we'll just get a glancing blow with 40-60mph winds, but who knows??

Our house is on pilings and only 200 yards off of the beach, so the storm surge could be an issue. We've secured everything and gathered the necessities.

If we do have to evacuate, we're slapping our 25 on the trailer and heading out of Dodge. Gotta love having the Honda generator and a case of beer to boot. If we don't, the generator will come in handy, and the beer will keep me occupied
 
Ferg,
I enjoyed your post. I hope your place is spared. I also hope the storm does not make a u turn and come back to whack Florida a second time.
D.D.
 
Several models show it doubling back and going into the gulf. (on edit almost all of the ensemble models show this, with the track toward the Yucatan.) A couple send it back up our way... There are so many variables, in these storms, and future weather patterns over the US, that I doubt that there is any certainty. Most models show decreasing intensity, as it goes North, and back out to sea? So far is taking a bit more Westward trend that earlier prediction..

This is an usual storm, but they can go anywhere! Storm surge, possible to 11 feet. (This is what we had in Ivan 2004--and it was catastrophic! ) Question about St. John's river flooding, plus some storm surge, could cause damage there. Our thoughts are with all of the folks in this cone of destruction...
 
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